Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.668707 0.853571 1.061253 1.309229 1.594641 1.910342 2.283405
2025-09-28 0.395644 0.619351 0.903926 1.280396 1.753391 2.316664 3.026563
2025-10-05 0.248531 0.481792 0.817032 1.302976 1.959252 2.786655 3.879811
2025-10-12 0.153093 0.375710 0.738432 1.311277 2.135407 3.224799 4.719180
2025-10-19 0.085248 0.279097 0.642867 1.270104 2.228932 3.552500 5.429377
2025-10-26 0.045699 0.209832 0.567721 1.239336 2.323976 3.878544 6.145357
2025-11-02 0.025193 0.167065 0.524921 1.248673 2.472429 4.280292 6.974843
2025-11-09 0.010919 0.122956 0.461786 1.207645 2.532401 4.551828 7.629227
2025-11-16 0.005830 0.105571 0.451862 1.260514 2.744552 5.053065 8.620794
2025-11-23 0.002181 0.083385 0.420051 1.263384 2.869867 5.425809 9.437224
2025-11-30 0.001055 0.076118 0.426840 1.345085 3.134344 6.019527 10.588818
2025-12-07 0.000332 0.065878 0.419967 1.395414 3.344888 6.535147 11.637605
2025-12-14 0.000033 0.053622 0.401174 1.418412 3.511573 6.994602 12.627011
2025-12-21 NaN 0.039242 0.364664 1.393500 3.587395 7.311690 13.413144
2025-12-28 NaN 0.031677 0.350761 1.420292 3.761064 7.791822 14.456318
2026-01-04 NaN 0.024448 0.331935 1.430552 3.901956 8.221197 15.430438
2026-01-11 NaN 0.016105 0.296063 1.387529 3.933027 8.467399 16.127147
2026-01-18 NaN 0.010428 0.266717 1.355170 3.981028 8.741140 16.870224
2026-01-25 NaN 0.007491 0.252928 1.365284 4.116139 9.165995 17.856947
2026-02-01 NaN 0.004175 0.224191 1.321718 4.133280 9.386076 18.523595
2026-02-08 NaN 0.003440 0.225954 1.378016 4.368722 9.992769 19.814728
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002153 0.212894 1.381092 4.486825 10.395196 20.785699
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002035 0.223093 1.467945 4.795414 11.142129 22.320897